你将学到什么
How to construct projections of the real, external, government, and monetary sectors under the assumption of unchanged policy
How to generate sectoral forecasts that are consistent from accounting and behavioral perspectives
How to use a macroeconomic model to analyze the effects of policy changes
How to identify and appraise the economic vulnerabilities inherent in an emerging market economy
How to prepare a macroeconomic policy program scenario
课程概况
In this macroeconomics course, you will improve your skills in macroeconomic policy analysis and learn to design an economic and financial program, using real economic data. The financial programming exercise simulates what IMF (International Monetary Fund) desk economists routinely do in their country surveillance and program work.
In the first part of the course (modules 1–7), you will analyze the economic outlook of a country case and then help to build a baseline scenario — namely, a set of projections for the main macroeconomic sectors (real, external, government and monetary) that reflects the analyst’s best guess of what will happen to the economy in the coming year, assuming no policy change.
In the second part (modules 8–10), you will learn and discuss how macroeconomic policies can be used to address poor performance and reduce macroeconomic imbalances. We will illustrate the workings of monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies by using a simple Keynesian model of an open economy. In the final module you will design an IMF–supported lending program scenario for our country case.
Financial Programming and Policies, Part 2 is offered by the IMF with financial support from the Government of Japan.
预备知识
Prior knowledge or completion of Financial Programming and Policies, Part 1 is recommended.