金融规划与政策,第2部分:程序设计

Financial Programming and Policies, Part 2: Program Design

Learn how to forecast macroeconomic accounts and design an economic program for a case study country.

1043 次查看
国际货币基金组织
edX
  • 完成时间大约为 7
  • 中级
  • 英语
注:因开课平台的各种因素变化,以上开课日期仅供参考

你将学到什么

How to construct projections of the real, external, government, and monetary sectors under the assumption of unchanged policy

How to generate sectoral forecasts that are consistent from accounting and behavioral perspectives

How to use a macroeconomic model to analyze the effects of policy changes

How to identify and appraise the economic vulnerabilities inherent in an emerging market economy

How to prepare a macroeconomic policy program scenario

课程概况

In this macroeconomics course, you will improve your skills in macroeconomic policy analysis and learn to design an economic and financial program, using real economic data. The financial programming exercise simulates what IMF (International Monetary Fund) desk economists routinely do in their country surveillance and program work.

In the first part of the course (modules 1–7), you will analyze the economic outlook of a country case and then help to build a baseline scenario — namely, a set of projections for the main macroeconomic sectors (real, external, government and monetary) that reflects the analyst’s best guess of what will happen to the economy in the coming year, assuming no policy change.

In the second part (modules 8–10), you will learn and discuss how macroeconomic policies can be used to address poor performance and reduce macroeconomic imbalances. We will illustrate the workings of monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies by using a simple Keynesian model of an open economy. In the final module you will design an IMF–supported lending program scenario for our country case.

Financial Programming and Policies, Part 2 is offered by the IMF with financial support from the Government of Japan.

预备知识

Prior knowledge or completion of Financial Programming and Policies, Part 1 is recommended.

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